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4/11/2026
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| Mostly sunny | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73.6°F | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Comfortable | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Feels like: 77.2°F | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service - San Joaquin Valley / Hanford, CA
Issued: Saturday, April 11 2026 - 11:26 AM PDT
KEY MESSAGES... 1. Chance for unsettled weather as precipitation, winds, and periodic thunderstorms continue into this weekend.
2. Wind Advisory for Mojave Slopes through Sunday night.
3. Winter Storm Warning in effect through 11 PM Sunday for the Sierra Nevada above 7,000 feet.
DISCUSSION... Unsettled conditions continue this Saturday as the upper low moves closer to the West Coast. Ahead of the cold front, expected later tonight, will see showers and afternoon thunderstorms. Currently, the dynamic lift for better chances of precipitation and unsettled conditions will move into the region closer to 5 PM PDT and continue into the evening and overnight periods. While the upper low, based on satellite imagery and short term ensemble analysis as the center of the low moving through Northern California tonight, enough energy will shot through Central California for enhanced precipitation. An the fact that abundant moisture is spreading north into the region, confidence is high for significant snowfall overnight (along with localized flooding in the lower foothill region. To note: Probability of Exceedance (PoE) of receiving a half of and inch or more in 6 hours reaches 60-80 across the Sierra Nevada during the overnight period. The upper low will slowly move through the region this weekend and not exit the region until later on Monday.
While probability of measurable precipitation does diminish on Monday, lingering showers are expected across the Sierra Nevada. By Monday nigh, PoE of receiving a tenth of an inch drops to below 10 percent. Yet, the general flow pattern remains unsettled (cyclonic) with no strong high pressure ridge expected. Storms will continue to cross the West Coast, yet, uncertainty will keep precipitation probabilities low for the latter portions of the forecast. However, confidence is high in keeping Central California under cooler temperatures with persistent strong winds across the favored areas of the Sierra Crest and the Eastern Kern County (Mountains/Desert).
AVIATION... VFR conditions prevailing for the next 24 hours except for periods of MVFR with local IFR in showers/thunderstorms. The Sierra Nevada and adjacent foothills will have a high probability of lower categories in weather during the period. Gusts above 40 knots expected across the Mojave Desert slopes for the next 24 hours.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES... None.
CERTAINTY...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT Sunday for CAZ338.
Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM PDT Sunday for CAZ323-326>328- 330-331.
